Peter Lavelle

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18 June, 2009, 20:25
Saakashvili’s lipstick artist

Soon it will be a year since the South Ossetian conflict. To remind all of us of this tragic event there are a number of opportunists hoping to ignite another “media war” like the one that ensued after Saakashvili’s reckless adventurism. One such person is Svante Cornell of Johns Hopkins University and co-editor of the recently released “The Guns of August 2009: Russia’s War in Georgia.”

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After having a look at the list of contributors to this book, I strongly suggest you avoid this tome. There is nothing new in it: just the same old prejudices and ideologically-driven affection for the “Mugabe of the Caucasus.” However, I do suggest you read Cornell’s ‘please buy book’ article “Russia shuts out the international community” printed by the Daily Telegraph. It is a wonderful example of how the neocon agenda never dies and never fades away.

I think Cornell should have been a poet or a fiction writer. In the first paragraph he exhorts us to be aware of evil in the world, and the greatest evil is of course Russia. This week Russia vetoed a UN Security Council resolution extending the 16-year-old UN mission monitoring Abkhazia. Russia’s veto was correct in every way. The resolution simply did not reflect new realities – Abkhazia and South Ossetia are finally free of the ethnic cleansing maniacs located in Tbilisi. These two new countries will never again be menaced by the descendents of Zviad Gamsakhurdia.

Cornell then goes on to repeat falsehoods at the start of the second paragraph – “Last August, Russia invaded Georgia and effectively annexed two of its provinces, Abkhazia and South Ossetia.” This sentence alone is the best reason to avoid Cornell’s book. This sentence is the premise on which the entire article is based, and thus invalidates the entire article (and book I would assume).

Allow me to rewrite Cornell’s sentence: “Last August, Saakashvili launched a pre-emptive attack on South Ossetia which targeted civilians – primarily women and children – and recognized peacekeepers. Later, and because of Tbilisi’s aggression, Russia with great reluctance recognized South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states.” I have to assume that Cornell either lives under a rock or is willfully ignorant. Saakashvili has already publicly admitted he started the war. On top of this, leaks from an upcoming EU-related report support Saakashvili’s admission. What other evidence is needed for Cornell and his cabal of “blame Russia first” supporters to accept that the American-supported, -funded, and -trained Saakashvili regime is in the wrong?

I would comment on the rest of the Daily Telegraph article, but it is the same bluster and closed-mindedness we have heard and read in western mainstream media and from ideological diehards when it comes to Georgia’s so-called “western orientation.” Cornell and his ilk simply cannot admit that Washington’s Georgia project failed – thankfully it did and will continue to.

But I am not finished. There is something I think we all need to remember when reflecting on a conflict that should never have happened. People like Cornell like to think big and feel big, but what about the issue that really matters? He appears to have no interest in the fate and trials of the South Ossetians and Abkhazians. However, this is what the August conflict was all about – the status of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Russia was willing to live with the status quo before the aggression. Later, that stance changed. To avoid more ethnic cleansing of people who wanted to be free of Tbilisi, Russia agreed to their recognition as independent states for humanitarian reasons.

Please give the following a thought: South Ossetia and Abkhazia have since the early 90s wanted to be free of Tbilisi’s influence - neither wanted to be part of Georgia (let alone NATO). South Ossetia and Abkhazia have, since the end of the Soviet Union, looked to Russia for assistance and security from intensely hostile Georgian nationalism. But then again, that tragic story doesn’t fit into Cornell’s ideologically-driven narrative. That narrative avoids considering the hopes of oppressed people.

The neocon project is only about geopolitical ambitions - everything and everyone must conform to this thesis in advance. Any evidence that denies this thesis is discarded and so should Cornell’s book.

Show comments (33)
Count Cash

24 June, 2009, 18:38

Elictricity 24 hours a day - European Magic! How do they do that! Such innovation, such grasp of cutting edge technology, what will come next! can anyone see the future, maybe some device for seing pictures. Something, so I can talk to someone far away, oh stop! the contemplation is too enormous, the possibilities are boundless! But wait, I can see something, its large, its a Union, a new idea, the EU to be precise, I can see it clearly, it robs countries of their sovereignty, It installs a political master class, it puts its population into tax slavery, it ignores the rule of law, oh stop, what is this Frankensteins creation, that tries to suck the blood from its people, 65% tax, a huge mortgage, cerdit cards, delux coffee machines for Brussels beurocrats, huge expense accounts, quick cut the power, this is a monster. Good the lights are still on, hope they last 24 hours, its truly magic. Now a revolutionary thought, that countries could just be independent and not in blocks. All sitting within global security and finacial structures on equitabke terms. Sort of the way they were designed to be, nothing magic in that, can't be Europe!


johnx

24 June, 2009, 17:28

Peter I think this is part of Brezinski’s Grand Chessboard agenda rather than a Neocon one although the favours an Israeli centrist US foreign policy although the Neocon are heavily prevalent in foundations, think tanks, NGO’s and media pushing the GCB agenda.

@giustino

The post soviet Oligarchical system came to power due to IMF imposed economic policies implemented by George Soros through his Open Society foundation putting the economy in the hand s of a few western aligned oligarchs.
Lord Rothschild of London transferred billions of dollars to Khodorkovsky and others to influence Yeltsin to run auctions of state asset’s which they bought up at fire sale prices.
Khodorkovsky was on the verge of signing a contract handing over oil pipeline rights to Exxon mobile essentially out sourcing the Russian economy when Putin took action. In fact he was on the plane about to sign the contract when he was arrested.
It turned out that Lord Rothschild was the major shareholder of Yukos and Khoderkovsky was just the front man. Other senior shareholders include Henry Kissinger and Nevzlin.
The same pattern happened with the auctions in Ukraine.
Lukashenko saw the danger that it would have on the economy and kicked out the IMF policy makers when he was elected in 94 avoiding the economy suffering the same fate as Russia and Ukraine.

Shevardnadze was helped into the presidency by George Soros who set up shop in Georgia in 94 to oversee US pipeline deals which would go through Azerbaijan, Georgia, to Turkey and Israel
Ukraine’s economy started to grow in 2000 when he followed Putins lead and went against the IMF backed ruling Oligarchy.
He was removed from power when he began to negotiate pipeline deals with Gazprom and Russia. in a Soros sponsored coup by Saakashvili who worked for a Soros law firm in New York and was director of a CIA affiliated NGO USAID linked NGO ( actually I was going to post a link to the Asian Tribune article but it seems to have been removed).
Or Azerbaijanis western backed family ruling class system presidency handed down from father to son.
I could also cite US and Europe’s support for every Arab regime in the Md East Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, etc. as well as the states they help create in Bosnia an Islamic hub in Europe and Kosovo where 75% of Afghan heroin runs through KLA networks in Europe.
Brezinski clearly states the US objective in regards to states in Eurasian’s sphere in his 97 book The Grand Chessboard:
"Two basic steps are thus required: first, to identify the geostrategically dynamic Eurasian states that have the power to cause a potentially important shift in the international distribution of power and to decipher the central external goals of their respective political elites and the likely consequences of their seeking to attain them;... second, to formulate specific U.S. policies to offset, co-opt, and/or control the above..." (p. 40)
"To put it in a terminology that harkens back to the more brutal age of ancient empires, the three grand imperatives of imperial geostrategy are to prevent collusion and maintain security dependence among the vassals, to keep tributaries pliant and protected, and to keep the barbarians from coming together." (p.40)
As for Karimov in Uzbekistan he changes alliances between Russia and the US when he feels his position is threatened. Russia would favour him in power as the ISI/CIA created IMU in 92 would seize power and a hub and base for Islamic terrorism in the region which would destabilise the whole region which has millions of Russian civilians living in the region.

"Uzbekistan, nationally the most vital and the most populous of the central Asian states, represents the major obstacle to any renewed Russian control over the region. Its independence is critical to the survival of the other Central Asian states, and it is the least vulnerable to Russian pressures." (p. 121)

"Uzbekistan is, in fact, the prime candidate for regional leadership in Central Asia." (p.130)

How is Putin/Medvedev government a neo-Brezhnevian regime?

Georgia was Russia’s only use of military force outside the country since the break-up of the USSR and only after it’s peacekeepers and South Ossetian capital were bombed by Grad rockets and an emergency UN security council meeting was called by Russia putting forth an emergency ceasefire resolution was vetoed by the US and Britain.

Contrast hat to the US and Britain and there wars across the world since the end of the Cold War. Days after the Georgian assault US forces in Iraq bombed villages in neighbouring Syria without informing them killing civilians claiming it was

I don’t think Putin is static I think you’re a victim of western propaganda that these oligarchs have put these money into financing media and think tanks, NGO’s like the Carnegie Endowment for Democracy, HRW, etc.

Putin has managed to reduce poverty by half, introduced a flat rate tax system, develop a nano-technology industry, paid of most of Russia’s foreign debt and taken measures to tackle Russia’s demographic decline.
Although he has still to tackle problems of corruption, large sections of the economy in the hands of certain individuals Oligarchs, court and army reform, etc which Medvedev has addressed. We will see how it develops.


Dirk Diggler

24 June, 2009, 16:28

Too much vodka makes for confused thinking. The russian terrorists are to blame for what happened, not the cowardly tie-eater.


giustino

24 June, 2009, 13:41

Pauline,

I do live in Europe, a magical place where, in most places, one can count on electricity 24 hours a day. Many Georgians still cannot count on that. I am not sure if you still have running water and electricity in Michigan. I hope so.

It's like I said, if I was the leader of a small post-Soviet nation, looking for a good deal, Russia wouldn't really be on my shortlist of options. What are they going to give me? Some oligarch in power for life like in Belarus or Uzbekistan?

That's what Georgia had until 2003 and would still have today -- Shevardnadze.

Russia's neighborhood policy is ultimately unsustainable because it relies on static, personality- focused regimes (not unlike its own neo-Brezhnevian regime of Putin). But, eventually, local dictators will have to be replaced. The question is with what. If the West is no longer the answer, what is?


Indianizer

24 June, 2009, 07:53

Fully agree with Count Cash. There will always be an industry that gets its sustenance from the "Russia is wrong" take. It was there before the Russian revolution in 1917 - the British were locked in a struggle with Russia in the Great Game - and it continues long after the communists have tucked the red flags in the back of their drawers. The end of communism in Russia has exposed the hatemongers in London and New York who continue with their bear bating. I think it basically boils down to the clash of civilizations cliche. In this case the Anglo-American (English speak nations) versus the Orthodox Slavs. Living in Auckland, New Zealand, I know that many people here swallowed the American line in the war with Georgia (of course some thought the Russians had invaded the southern American state of Georgia and were wondering why WW III had not yet begun!). However, it's all going to matter little in the end. As the Hindu aphorism coined thousands of years ago in India goes: Truth Alone Wins.


Pauline

24 June, 2009, 01:16

Guistino,you are very funny. You talk as if it were 1994 or something! You should see all the vacant stores in my neighborhood, which is among the best in the USA, actually. We have whole cities going into the ground, like Flint, Michigan or Detroit, Michigan. People are FARMING on the vacant land in the center of Detroit! We have 2 million people in prison, FAR MORE per capita than the USSR ever had in jail! China currently has only 1 million prisoners and 1.4 billion people! We have 61 million people without health insurance, and our industry cannot compete because of the employer based health care. Maybe you are talking about EUROPE, not the USA? I understand France, wth a social democratic system is doing pretty well about now?


Count Cash

23 June, 2009, 18:33

Saakashvilis miscalculated actions freed S Ossetia and Abkhazia form the eternal poverty in Georgia. It freed them from the exploitation that the western masters had planned for them, with their willing designated governor Saakassvili. However, the Georgians have to keep on suffering, until they can free themselves, also from the western puppet. The west considered Georgia and its people, like it does all countries, an animal to be devoured for its net worth, and then left discarded as a carcase on the side of the trail. Abkhazia and S Ossetia are luckier, they have moved on to freedom, thanks to Russia, free of the western exploitation that sadly the Georgians will have to suffer under the oppressive west, until they too can free themselves. They will though one day, like all the exploited countries, awaken and push back against the western empire. yes when they do, they will see a second wave, of western exploitation through invasion, torture and rape, the pattern is well known, but in the end they will free theselves of the western opression, and stand freely in a multipolar world created by Russia. The west just has suffering to offer, nothing else, it is disintegrating, due to internal pressure from its own people who are waking up to the media control they are continually subjected too. The western rotten exploitative regime will fall like a deck of cards, allowing the western people to also join a multipolar world. The institutional west is desperate, the world is developing without their control, and like all control freaks, they become violent, when they can't control.


giustino

23 June, 2009, 11:09

Saakashvili came to power because the post-1991 settlement in the successors of the USSR is not sustainable.

Eventually, all of the men who have been in power since that time -- Lukashenko in Belarus, Karimov in Uzbekistan -- will eventually have to be replaced, just as Georgia's leadership was in 2003.

Replaced by what? Russia would like to maintain the status quo -- friendly, anti-reform regimes tied to the center by financial interests. That is the regime that is in place in Russia anyway. They are the same kinds of oligarchs who are busy milking the country's natural resources. Of course, they put rival oligarchs into prison or exile. But they are not fundamentally different in attitude towards the state.

The problem is that people in places like Georgia, at least the ones I have met, are sick of substandard living conditions and will gladly back those who promise to lead them away from being post-Soviet.
Saakashvili is one of these politicians.

The reason that such a power vacuum exists and will continue to exist in these countries is that, at its heart, the Russian Federation is anti-reform. It has nothing to offer. It has nothing to export, except maybe gas or oil.

That's why some politicians in these countries look West. Given the choice between ex-Soviet countries and open economy held down by a Western security guarantee, you can see why people supported Saakashvili.

This is a problem that isn't going to go away. The post-1991 settlement is rotting, just like old Soviet housing tenements. Eventually, it will fall, just like those buildings will have to be demolished. But what will be built in its place?

Russia so far has nothing to offer.


JayCee

23 June, 2009, 09:12

I'm wondering why there are still people willing to fight wars of the neocons. If neocons believe the case they put forward, they should put themselves forward to the frontlines of their wars. This is an easy way for everyone to see the difference between the plot and the true cause.


Gene Hopkins

21 June, 2009, 21:16

Hi Peter,

I was walking down the street this past Sunday evening. I saw a black fellow about my age standing on the corner and he was smoking a cigarette. I went up to him asked if he had a spare one. He said, "no, but you can share this one with me". I mentioned to him that I had just called my 86 year old mom and made her laugh. I didn't mention that I had told mom that I dressed up as a drunk Polish woman named "Anita Brewski." He got tearful and pulled out a pamphlet from a church. It had a picture of his mom who had passed away the previous week. He said "I just buried her this last Tuesday. She told me to always be kind. Keep calling your mom". He said, "I am blessed to have met you". I said, "Don't make my cry dude. No I am blessed to have met you". This complete stranger and I hugged and parted ways. We both had a tear in our eye.
Perhaps I am biased, but I think that the recent events in Iran, though sad for human rights, are positive for world peace. The United States has no right to meddle in Iran's election or internal affairs. With the election of President Obama, we have had our own peaceful revolution. I understand that America still remains as an international bully of sorts, but things are changing for the better.

Gene H. from San Francisco


Meslin

20 June, 2009, 20:05

When we see all the dirty tricks still fomented by US neocons and their NATO croonies; don't you think strange that the "messi" of freedom (a certain Obama) has so far done absolutly nothing to curb that anti-russian feeling (except when he needs).Beware of that man'sincerity! Sorry Future Generations
Jean-Claude Meslin


Glenn

20 June, 2009, 11:10

I can strongly recommend Prof. George Hewitt's reply to Svante Cornell’s Daily Telegraph Article.

http://circassianworld.blogspot.com/2009/06/reply-to-svante-cornells-daily.html


Count Cash

19 June, 2009, 20:41

Peter, once again good comments, however, I question whether comments are needed at all. The western propaganda machine is well known, and will operate continually, regardless of any astute observations, Russia will always be portrayed as wrong, as it is the whole purpose of this propaganda machine to deliver according to that tune. The enlightened in the west know this, the Russians know it, so let's just have a chuckle at the likes of this, an the Daily Telegraph and concentrate on the real issues that matter, like building a stable Saakasvilli free zone for the Caucuses. We are too locked in a look west mentality. Let's glance west and look everywhere else, because a western obsession is pointless. The west has nothing to offer us in terms of moral or other values, it is the invader, the torturer, the raper, the controller; be aware of it, but don't waste too much time on it. There is a wider world out there developing in a free manner, a true multipolar world.


03 June, 2009, 22:59
Freedom House running scared
29 May, 2009, 13:11
North Korea and the inevitable
About author

Peter Lavelle is the host of RT's week in review programme In Context, and was the anchor of the commentary series IMHO (In my humble opinion). And RT viewers can expect to find Peter in the news studio commenting on breaking events. This includes live press conferences and when decision makers meet anywhere in the world.

Peter Lavelle has extensive experience in academia and the world of business. He did his doctoral studies at the University of California in Eastern European and Russian studies. He has lived in Eastern Europe and Russia for a better part of the last 25 years. During that time he was a lecturer at the University of Warsaw, a market researcher for Colgate-Palmolive, an investment analyst for a number of respected brokerage firms, including Russia’s Alfa Bank.

In the realm of media, Peter Lavelle is widely published. He has written for Asia Times Online, Moscow Times, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, United Press International, In the National Interest, and Current History – to mention only a few.

Peter enjoys reading, films, long walks through Moscow, and caring for his two dogs. Viewers are invited to read his daily blog, below.

Peter Lavelle also has an Internet discussion group on Russia:

http://groups.google.com/group/Untimely_Thoughts_An_Expert_Discussion_Group_on_Russia