Peter Lavelle

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03 July, 2009, 11:45
Obama: Tandem buster?

Speaking with the Associated Press before his departure for Russia; US President Barack Obama gave every impression that he intends to play Russia President Dmitry Medvedev off against Prime Minister Vladimir Putin. This is naive and very dangerous. Moreover, such an approach will not result in “resetting” Russia-US relations.

Either Obama believes he has already mastered Russian politics (assuming that is even possible among us who are hardcore Russia-watchers) or he is being given some very bad advice.
Irrespective of which, the US president never should have said the following in public:

“…Prime Minister Putin still has a lot of sway in Russia, and I think that it's important that even as we move forward with President Medvedev, that Putin understands that the old Cold War approaches to U.S.-Russian relations is outdated, that it's time to move forward in a different direction. I think Medvedev understands that. I think Putin has one foot in the old ways of doing business and one foot in the new. And to the extent that we can provide him and the Russian people a clear sense that the U.S. is not seeking an antagonistic relationship, but wants cooperation on nuclear nonproliferation, fighting terrorism, energy issues - that we'll end up having a stronger partner overall in this process.”

In Russia today, it is simply impossible to play Medvedev off against Putin. Both represent the same policy approaches, including foreign policies, but in different ways. As I have stated in the past, both are modernizers, with Medvedev taking more of a liberal trajectory and Putin more of a statist. At this point in time, both approaches need the other be to effective. Obama can in no way divide the two.

I still find it odd the western mainstream continues to see what they want to see in Medvedev and Putin. Medvedev is liked because he isn’t Putin. This has nothing to do with politics and policy – just simply misplaced perceptions that are only self-serving. (It needs to be remembered that a great deal of Medvedev’s popularity at home comes from the trust Putin has in him).

Additionally, no one in Russia’s political elite would ever think about “choosing” one member of the tandem over the other when it comes to foreign policy, and to please the leader of another country.

As far as where the tandem has its feet, I can only say they are on solid ground remembering the past and moving forward.

I certainly hope the upcoming summit will proceed better than Obama’s initial remarks would indicate. He needs better advice than he’s getting at the moment.

Show comments (40)
Kobe

10 July, 2009, 07:01

@lolo,

The reason RON PAUL and CYNTHIA McKINNEY were not allowed to debate is that they didn't garner any meaningful (more than 1 or 2 percent) nationwide support and thus to put them on TV with the main candidates would be an absolute WASTE OF TIME and a clown show. TV debates are for serious and VIABLE candidates and not for everyone who decides to run for president (and trust me, there are many of them).


James

07 July, 2009, 13:36

Lolo- You mean Cynthi McKinney. She is a self important crackpot conspiracy theorist that appeals to the frighteningly large population of paranoid minorities and uneducated here in the USA. She is only interviewed when the media need a snippet for their "odd news" page.


MEJanssen

06 July, 2009, 15:59

@Lolo, agree with you. If we were really serious about "spreading democracy", we would have done a "regime change" in Zimbabwe years ago. Maybe so many people would not have starved to death. Maybe we could have done it for only $1 million rather than $1 trillion that we are spending in Iraq . . .

Of course, there is no oil in Zimbabwe.


lolo

06 July, 2009, 14:37

I agree completely with the person who said Obama is intimidated by Putin! Even Wild Bill Hickock George Bush was never really at ease with Putin, probably because you can never know what he’s thinking; he talks very little, smiles twice a year…
BUT to assume that Medvedev is easier to deal with is just pure *** and a sign of desperation.
To the Americans on this forum: how do you explain America’s support of Egypt and Saudi Arabia, who have zero democracy? Did you notice that in Iran there are 4 main candidates for presidency, and all of them are allowed to debate on national television? Do you know that Ron Paul was not allowed to debate on American television, because he’s views are different to those of the Democrats and the Republicans? And that black lady, I forget her name, (Cynthia?) is NEVER interviewed by American media, what kind of democracy is this? Don’t you ever wonder why there are no new parties with different ideas there, don’t you care to find out why these people’s views are suppressed?
Why is it that a black man (Obama) supports an apartheid regime like Israel, against black people of Gaza?


Vladimir

06 July, 2009, 11:29

It is simply not polite to criticize a person whom you are going to visit with such a word as "your one foot is in the old ways of doing business and the other is in the new".
To go further with this pattern of " two feet" one can say that the USA is currently standing firmly on two feet "in the old ways of doing business": in BMD deployment in Europe, NATO expansion further East with potential (not canceled yet) admission of Georgia and Ukraine, tactical and conventional NATO and the USA weapons in Europe, the Jackson-Vanick amendment, weaponization of outer space, etc.


john

06 July, 2009, 08:09

@David Wood, In 2002 media magnate Robert Murdoch wanted to buy another TV channel in the US. The White House blocked the transaction. After Murdoch outlined his support for Iraq invasion the White house dropped its objections. If you think the US media are free you are living in fools paradise.
Why two party political system should be better than one party system? I will start to believe the US believes in democracy once democracy is delivered to Saudi Arabia.
In the US there is no difference between the republicans and democrats. Both both parties represent the owners of the capital. It does not matter who wins elections that is why only about 50% voters bother to vote.


Mike

06 July, 2009, 06:23

I've watched Medvedev and Putin and I like what I see and hear. Both are intelligent, logical leaders who have much more integrity that US leadership. Both men seem to be working for the people of Russia and world peace. On the other hand, Obama doesn't have a clue as to what he is doing. With no military experience to speak of he is being seriously misled by the military and the neo-cons in has admisitration. These pschopaths love war and stealing other peoples money. Obama is nothing but a front man and a chump for the status quo.


Count Cash

06 July, 2009, 04:48

sasha - try coming and living in Russia, I have lived in the US and am now back in Russia and I can tell you, the comparison you make of Living standards in the USA are better, are a load of Rubbish, yes if you compare how many have a computer, or IPod, then you will get the sort of picture you have, but if you compare how fulfilling peoples lives are, or you compare the up and coming young adults, then it is completely differnt. Also remember the USA is credit driven, is that really a massive living standard, to be up to your eyeballs in debt and subsequent tax. In Russia, only now this credit monster is being unleashed on the people. So please don't make such sweeping generalisations. There is good and bad living standards in all countries! We don't sell our souls in Russia, like they do in the US. How big is the average US mortgage! How big is the average Russian mortgage!


yasuyuki tateishi

06 July, 2009, 02:30

Obama is a typical Western politicians such as Sarcozy, and Merkel who hate Russia, who want to dominate the world, that is the old type imperialists. It should be pointed out that Obama tries to have an appearance of a moderate democratic politician but in reality he has both his feets in the old imperialist mentality.


David Wood

06 July, 2009, 01:23

John, you're right on the money, man. There is no such thing as freedom of press in America...or the entire western hemisphere. It is the mother Russia that proudly occupies its place as the very beacon of freedom of press around the world. One can only hope that organizations like CNN, Router, AP, BBC, and others would take an example and learn from the unbiased and unabashedly truthful (not to mention world respected) reportings of a fine news outlet such as RT and Pravda. Oh I await eagerly till that day comes.

And the two party political system of the US...don't get me started on that...it's is also total crap. Real manifestation of democracy lies in the one unopposed party system of Russia, where the ones in power hand pick their puppet successors for the purposes of temporarily keeping the seat worm, to be returned to (with a longer tenure) later.

I am truly jealous of you guys. I am. Why was I born so unlucky as to be stuck in this oppressive sham of a Western society when I could've been flourishing in the abundance of political and social freedoms of the beloved mother Russia, China, or North Korea. Damn it! It's just not fair.


Kyle

05 July, 2009, 23:42

Sierra Nevada,

I been to Georgia multiple times and the people of Georgia are some of the most hospital people in the world. It is not the peoples fault that the president of Georgia is worthless...

Georgia has some of the most fantastic food in the world and it comes from the soul. They know how to cook...

Quote "In response to your statement that it is the people of the former Soviet Union that makes the world go round....Does your statement include Georgians?"

Quote of what I said "What makes the world go round is the people and the people of the old Soviet countries are night and day above the Western people..."

What makes the world go round is the people... (People all over the world)... But people from the old soviet countries are night and day above Western people...

I never said that the people of the former Soviet Union are the only ones that make the world go round...I just said that they are better than their Western counterpart...

Is Georgia part of the old Soviet Union?

Are you saying that Georgians are different in some way that I do not know? Funny question...

They seemed like fantastic people to me...

Kyle

PS: Now if you are talking about Georgians in Georgia located in America then we are in a whole other ballgame.


Sasha

05 July, 2009, 16:46

"A sphere of influence isn't the point. When the USSR and the Warsaw Pact dissolved why wasn't NATO?"

Why should NATO be dissolved? Even though the CCCP fell and the Warsaw Pact with it, why should NATO? Yes, perhaps it began for a purpose, but why can't it transform into something else? I would rather NATO be on my doorstep than Russia, and I don't think anyone can say otherwise. I am sure many people will agree with me, I would rather live in North America than any other place in the world.... why? stability, freedom, no crazy neighbour countries.... there are thousands and thousands of immigrants coming to North America from Russia, if Russia was such a great place, why would people leave in the first place? If all of you defending Russia on this message board think it is so great, go and live there, see what it is really like. I guarantee that you won't last long, unless you are a millionnaire who can buy everything and everyone.

However, I agree with many of you, the US is not perfect and never will be, but no one in the world can deny that people live much better in US than Russia... and isn't that the whole point?

I have nothing against Russians, I love the country, the culture, but I cannot stand what the politicians do to the people.


Anton Hoenderkamp

05 July, 2009, 11:22

I believe Obama is right in saying that we do not want a return to the cold war antics, but wrong in saying that it is wrong to have one foot in the past. It is right to have a solid grounding in the past, so we can fully remember and move forward with respect.

I think Obama should think about equality with women as being high on his agenda. The policy in Afghanistan which legalises rape of women in Afghan marriage must be axed. And his support of the homosexual community in America just underlines his inaction for bringing about equality. He must put these fundamental building blocks in place first before trying to play the Russians at a game of political chess.
Regards
Anton


john

05 July, 2009, 07:01

By helping American colonialists in Afghanistan Russia is losing its good name around the world. Those who help to deliver the gun are as guilty as those who pull the trigger.


john

05 July, 2009, 06:57

Johnx & sasha, all US media are controlled by US government through licensing that is renewable every year. There is no such think like free and independent media in the US and never was. Being privately owned does not mean free. Media owners have no choice but to be the voice for government propaganda or else… there is no license and huge losses.


Count Cash

05 July, 2009, 05:02

Johnx - perfect! hole in one!


Tariq

05 July, 2009, 05:00

Even though Obama is going to Russia, and he's going to talk to President Medvedev the American press is going to have a field day. First, all of the press here in America will be over how bad Putin is. He's evil, he's a monster, and a Stalin communist. After they are done with Putin they are going to talk about how there is no democracy in Russia. And how Russia wants to create a new Cold War. Just ask Bill O'reilly Sure they're going to talk about how Russia opposes the missile defense system but who cares about that because once we got the America public thinking how bad Russia is it's all good.They're also going to talk about the fact that Russia still supports it's friend the Iranians. No! This is why no wonder so many Americans believe the American media is corrput. Even though Russia and the Russian people will welcome Obama and his Clinton administration/ Bush policies with open arms and RESPECT the media here in the states will play it as if Russia is still communist, has no freedom, Putin is an authoritarian leader, the media is still controlled by Putin, and Putin still threatens everyone in the region. And that's why we have Fox News and CNN. God help us . So the final point is Obama is the new god in the world and everyone loves him and the Russian are still evil.


Pauline

05 July, 2009, 02:28

I agree with those who say it is hostile for our US President to declare that he finds either Putin or Medvedev more agreeable. However, the US president is in an ackward position, because the western press has blasted Putin so badly (for standing up to the EU and USA), yet now Obama goes to Russia for a summit! Hmm! He may be serious, and if so, he is not very smart, or it may be that he has to feed the right wing dogs here something to eat? We shall see, and soon. Of course, we all hope that the USA and Russia can work something out, because we all want peace, justice and prosperity .


Sierra Nevada

05 July, 2009, 01:40

Kyle,

In response to your statement that it is the people of the former Soviet Union that makes the world go round....Does your statement include Georgians?


Count Cash

04 July, 2009, 22:45

Alt - The problem with you is that you feel you are a missionary, the Westerner, coming to marry the Russian wife, and correct Russia. The tune and the words are well known and sung by many.

All countries have issues with neighbours, it comes with the territory, look at Europe, they were fighting for years between countries, look at the balkans. This is how it is, it is the reality of the world, not a Russian thing that Americans like to pretend exist.

Now if you place on top of this an agitator, both in terms of bribes, because money makes the world go around and also one in terms of political devisiveness, and sometimes even add to this in some cases a Nazi guilt trip. Then you have a potent cocktail.

So Alt, a nice simple analysis by you, but completely wrong. But I suppose the analysis, was never meant to be accurate. It was just a nice rendition of a heartfelt song.

Now again, I hear the missionary advice of diversification of the economy, but you could have heard it form us, as we have been talking about it quite repetitively over the years. We know business very well, but your patronising is well noted. So what else do you offer us, oh high missionary, Maybe some mumbo jumbo about totalitarianism, but hasn't the US supported those type of states over the years, when it suited them. No the only thing you offer, is the little child, who hopefully can grow up unbiased by your missionary advice.
They may learn not to cheat.


01 July, 2009, 08:52
Derailing Medvedev and Obama
18 June, 2009, 20:25
Saakashvili’s lipstick artist
About author

Peter Lavelle is the host of RT's week in review programme In Context, and was the anchor of the commentary series IMHO (In my humble opinion). And RT viewers can expect to find Peter in the news studio commenting on breaking events. This includes live press conferences and when decision makers meet anywhere in the world.

Peter Lavelle has extensive experience in academia and the world of business. He did his doctoral studies at the University of California in Eastern European and Russian studies. He has lived in Eastern Europe and Russia for a better part of the last 25 years. During that time he was a lecturer at the University of Warsaw, a market researcher for Colgate-Palmolive, an investment analyst for a number of respected brokerage firms, including Russia’s Alfa Bank.

In the realm of media, Peter Lavelle is widely published. He has written for Asia Times Online, Moscow Times, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, United Press International, In the National Interest, and Current History – to mention only a few.

Peter enjoys reading, films, long walks through Moscow, and caring for his two dogs. Viewers are invited to read his daily blog, below.

Peter Lavelle also has an Internet discussion group on Russia:

http://groups.google.com/group/Untimely_Thoughts_An_Expert_Discussion_Group_on_Russia